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Textbook Publishers: Who's Afraid of eBooks?

As dot.com fever dies down, Fortune magazine asks: have the traditional educational publishers re-gained control in the book industry, with content still being king?  Seemingly faced with extinction just a few years back, these old-line publishers developed their own web and e-text strategies (see box below), which included teaming up with the upstarts.  Now, will they re-think the "e-ification" of their business?  These fast-changing events in the previously slow-paced textbook publishing industry are chronicled in the February 5, 2001 issue of Fortune magazine.

Following last year's dot.com consolidations, and with it their plans to develop their own content down the drain, the hype and pressure from the upstarts receded.  The textbook publishers were in control again.  They had the content, and the dot-coms needed to team up with them.  "Everyone's got partnerships with everyone these days, and the winner will be the one with the best content," says McGraw-Hill's Henry Hirschberg.

Now, who's afraid of eBooks?  Not, Susan Driscoll, COO of textbook publisher Bedford Freeman & Worth, who argues that eBooks will be too expensive to design and build-especially multimedia ones.  And, Bob Christie, CEO of Thomson Learning, wonders how his firm will fare marketing directly to students.  Traditionally, textbook sales were pitched to professors, but now with thousands of students visiting their websites, educational publishers hope to sell study aids, outside reading, and other content directly to college kids.  

The Book on Textbooks and eBooks

"When it comes to Webifying the book world, the group to watch is the $3.3 billion college textbook industry," claims Fortune in the February 5, 2001 feature on eBooks and the textbook makers.  Meanwhile, Forrester Research predicts that eBooks will flop, but Print-On-Demand and digital textbooks will thrive, according to its yearend forecast for publishers (click here...).

The top textbook and reference publishers include such icons as Houghton Mifflin, McGraw-Hill, Pearson Education, Thomson Learning, and John Wiley & Sons. who Fortune says "have tackled the college market with the fervor of frat boys at rush".  

Their ePublishing initiatives, once limited to CD-ROM add-ons, now include:

  • selling books chapter by chapter
  • offering student aids online
  • experimenting anew with multimedia
  • selling directly to students materials, previously available only through instructors
  • planning to make texts for eBooks

Despite all the current fuss about eBook offerings by Stephen King and other best-selling authors, educational publishers may lead the way in the future.  According to Jupiter Research, by 2005, eBooks will make up about 6.5% of college textbooks sales vs. less than 2% of consumer-book sales.  "The opportunity for textbooks and professional books will, over time, be substantial," says Jupiter analyst Robert Hertzberg.  Forrester Research agrees.  It predicts digital delivery of print-on-demand books, textbooks, and eBooks will total $7.8 billion, or about 17.5% of publishing industry revenues, in five years.  But, only $251 million will derive from eBooks for eBook devices.

 

 
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